站内查询
您现在的位置是:主页 > 申博体育在线app > 北京二手房市场正从卖方向买方转变
北京二手房市场正从卖方向买方转变
2020-01-08 01:11  www.ussbeatty.com

  北京1月4日电(记者于立霄)2019年,北京限竞房供应大量入市,带动新房成交量上涨,而二手房成交量同比下降%,由“卖方市场”正在向“买方市场”转变。

BEIJING, Jan.4(Reuters)- Beijing's limited supply of competitive housing entered the market in 2019, driving up the volume of new homes, while second-hand housing volumes fell by% year-on-year, shifting from the \"seller's market\" to the \"buyer's market.\"

  限竞房是指5年内限售的限价商品房,从2018年开始,北京的限竞房供应量持续增加,在原有商品住宅供应的基础上每年新增2万套。

The limited competitive housing refers to the limited commercial housing sold within five years, and since 2018, the supply of limited competitive housing in Beijing has continued to increase, adding 20,000 units a year on the basis of the supply of original commercial housing.

  北京限竞房的大量入市,带动新房成交量上涨,中原地产研究中心统计数据显示,2019年,北京累计成交新建商品住宅36695套(包括限竞房),同比上涨57%。限竞房是2019年北京楼市成交的主力,合计成交高达24845套,限竞房占据了近两年市场供应的70%。

Beijing's massive entry into the market has led to a rise in the volume of new homes, with statistics from the Central Plains Real Estate Research Center showing a total of 36,695 new commercial residential units (including restricted housing), up 57 per cent year-on-year, in 2019. Limited competitive housing is the main transaction in Beijing property market in 2019, with a total of 24845 units sold, and limited competitive housing accounts for 70% of the market supply in the last two years.

  由于北京限竞房供应“井喷”,北京商品住宅(包括限竞房)库存处于近8年来最高位。中原地产首席分析师张大伟表示,北京楼市库存积压,除了限竞房供应量增加之外,还与信贷政策有关。

Because of the \"blowout\" of Beijing's limited supply of competitive housing, the inventory of Beijing's commercial housing (including restricted housing) is at its highest level in nearly eight years. Zhang Wei, chief analyst at Zhongyuan Real Estate, said the inventory backlog in Beijing's property market was linked to credit policy in addition to the increase in the supply of competitive housing.

  张大伟分析认为,限竞房平均单套签约金额约为530万元(人民币,下同),首付款按照首套房40%、二套房80%计算,使得市场整体陷入去库存难的局面。在库存压力加大和房企资金回笼诉求增强的双重作用下,购房者观望情绪浓厚。

According to mr zhang's analysis, the average single set signing amount is about 5.3 million yuan (rmb, the same below), and the down payment is based on 40% of the first suite and 80% of the second suite, which makes the market as a whole into the situation of destocking. In the stock pressure and housing enterprises to increase the demand for funds to enhance the dual role, buyers wait-and-see sentiment.

  2019年北京二手房市场也步入下行通道,贝壳研究院统计数据显示,北京二手房签约成交量万套,相比2018年减少%。

Beijing's second-hand housing market in 2019 also stepped into the downward passage, with statistics from the Shell Institute showing that Beijing's second-hand housing signed up to 10,000 units, down% from 2018.

  贝壳研究院以2017年3月17日北京执行史上最严的楼市调控政策为分水岭,统计出调控前与调控后二手房交易数据:调控前二手房月均成交万套,调控后月均成交万套,成交量近乎“腰斩”。调控后的三年,二手房成交量维持在每年15万套左右的低位,较2016年27万套的峰值下滑近半。

Shell Research Institute on March 17,2017 in Beijing to implement the strictest property market regulation and control policy as a watershed, statistics before and after the regulation and control of second-hand housing transactions data: regulation and control of the former second-hand housing monthly turnover of ten thousand units, after the regulation of the monthly turnover of ten thousand units, trading volume almost \"halved \". In the three years since the regulation, second-hand housing turnover has remained low at about 150,000 units a year, down nearly half from the 2016 peak of 270,000 units.

  调控后的二手房价格也一路下滑,贝壳数据显示,2019年12月北京二手房成交均价为每平方米万元,较调控当月历史峰值下跌12%,2019年末北京二手房价格不再是“内地第一”。

Second-hand housing prices after the regulation also fell along the way, shell data show that in December 2019, the average transaction price of second-hand housing in Beijing is 10,000 yuan per square meter,12% lower than the historical peak of the month of regulation and control, Beijing second-hand housing prices in late 2019 is no longer \"mainland first \".

  从各区域表现来看,调控前,通州、大兴、门头沟等区二手房房价涨幅明显。而调控后,中心城区房价坚挺,表现出良好的抗跌性,与2017年第一季度相比,2019年第四季度西城区二手房价格跌幅不到6%,海淀、东城、朝阳等区的房价跌幅亦相对较小。

From the regional performance, before the regulation, Tongzhou, Daxing, Mentougou and other areas second-hand housing prices rose significantly. And after the regulation, the central city housing prices are strong, showing good resilience, compared with the first quarter of 2017, the price of second-hand housing in Xicheng District fell less than 6% in the fourth quarter of 2019, Haidian, Dongcheng, Chaoyang and other districts also relatively small decline in house prices.

  在严厉的楼市调控政策下,购房者步入观望期,成交周期也被拉长。贝壳数据显示,调控前,购房客户买到一套房平均需要40天,调控后则需要三个月以上,客户快速成交率也由64%下降至36%。

In the strict housing market regulation policy, buyers into the wait-and-see period, the transaction cycle is also elongated. Shell data show that it takes an average of 40 days for buyers to buy a home before regulation, and more than three months after regulation, and the customer's rapid turnover rate has fallen from 64% to 36%.

  值得关注的是,购房者在交易中的地位逐渐提升,反映其价格谈判力的议价空间由调控前不到2%的水平,提升至2019年底5%的水平,北京二手房市场正由卖方向买方转变。

It is worth noting that buyers'position in the transaction is gradually rising, reflecting the bargaining space of their price negotiation power from less than 2% before the regulation to 5% at the end of 2019, and the second-hand housing market in Beijing is changing from the seller to the buyer.

  2019年,北京二手房市场“80后”占据半壁江山,我爱我家研究院统计显示,购房客户“60后”占%,“70后”占%,“80后”占%,“90后”占%,其他年代的客户占%。

In 2019, the Beijing second-hand house market \"after 80\" occupied half of the mountain, I love my home research institute statistics show that the purchase of housing customers\" after 60\" accounted for%,\" after 70\" accounted for%,\" after 80\" accounted for%,\" after 90\" accounted for%, other years of customers accounted for%.

  2020年,北京二手房市场步入调控后的第四个年头,贝壳研究院分析认为,楼市政策不会松动,市场预期平稳,延续低位态势。预计今年北京二手房成交量依然稳定在15万套左右,价格波动在5%以内。

In 2020, in the fourth year after beijing's second-hand housing market stepped into regulation, shell research institute analysis that the property market policy will not be loose, market expectations are stable, continue the low trend. Beijing's second-hand housing volume is expected to remain stable at around 150,000 units this year, with prices fluctuating within 5%.

  我爱我家研究院认为,2020年房地产市场将仍以“稳”为主,房地产调控在“租购并举”原则下,有望适度放松。(完)

I love my research institute that the real estate market will still be \"stable\" in 2020, real estate regulation and control under the principle of \"rent and purchase simultaneously\" is expected to be moderately relaxed. (end)